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Future of the German Banking Sector

  • The German banking landscape is currently undergoing a paradigm shift of an unprecedented magnitude. As the financial world is changing, the future of German banks is highly uncertain. A multitude of present-day driving factors will shape the banking world of tomorrow. Therefore, this thesis aims to investigate and analyze the future of the German banking sector until 2030. The concept of scenario planning serves as underlying method for this research. Based on current factors influencing the German banking sector, the present thesis systematically develops coherent future scenarios. The generation of these scenarios is performed with the help of the scenario software INKA 4. This enables to assess a comprehensive picture of the future environment and the interactions between external influencing factors. Based on the most consistent future scenario, implications for the strategies of German banks are derived. As a result, German incumbents can question their strategic orientation and position themselves optimally for the future.

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Author:Alexander Zügel
Advisor:Eva Kirner
Document Type:Master's Thesis
Year of Completion:2020
Granting Institution:Hochschule Furtwangen
Date of final exam:2020/05/28
Release Date:2020/09/04
Tag:German banking sector; Scenario planning; Strategy; Vision 2030
Page Number:186
Degree Program:IMM - International Management
Functional area:Finance & Accounting
Open-Access-Status: Open Access 
Licence (German):License LogoUrheberrechtlich geschützt