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Impact of Renewables and Weather Conditions on German EEX Spot Results and their Influence on the Futures Market (medium-term product) with Special Regards to Solar and Wind Production

  • Renewable energies play an increasingly significant role both in politics in Germany and especially in the energy market. The latter meanwhile is determined by the prices of the different energy sources in the mix of the German market. The goal of the present work is to analyse the influence of renewables on energy prices on the Spot and the Futures market and to find indicators, that help to better predict energy prices and therefore could be decisive for the time of purchase. Due to the limited scale of this thesis and because of the leading role of wind and solar energy, the main focus is on these two energy sources. Therefore, a quantitative data analysis by means of Pearson’s correlation coefficient is performed. The results are analysed to find main influencing factors on energy prices. Using the results, it can be concluded by what kind of event the resulting price changes are caused and how these events can be forecasted.

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Author:Rafael Tisbierek Dürr
Advisor:Michael Lederer
Document Type:Bachelor Thesis
Year of Completion:2018
Granting Institution:Hochschule Furtwangen
Date of final exam:2018/08/31
Release Date:2018/08/31
Tag:Energy prices; Renewable energy; Solar energy; Wind energy
Degree Program:IBW - Internationale Betriebswirtschaft
Functional area:Finance & Accounting
Licence (German):License LogoUrheberrechtlich geschützt